Road Traffic Accident In Muscat: Trend Analysis And Forecast
Mahmoud Dawood,  Mohammed Al Shubaily,  Omar Khaleel
Growing population and developing in Sultanate of Oman along with high-speed highways interconnecting the cities and rapid increase in urbanization and motorization, the road accident rates have significant drawback. Oman experiences its own share of concentrated accident zones (blackspots) which are created due to a number of reasons. Some of which are excessive speeding, failure to abide traffic laws and regulations and other influencing factors. Road Traffic Accident (RTA) occur by a series of causations which can be attributed to the driver’s fault, improper geometry, faulty vehicle, improper driving conditions, etc. The main objective of this research is to evaluate the road traffic accidents in Muscat by studying their trends, analyzing the RTA data and forecasting its future implications. Based on the conducted survey, it was seen that the majority of respondents had encountered at least one RTA within the past three years. About 50% of them admitted to driver over the speed limit, 44% admitted to speeding between speed detecting radars. The trend analysis revealed that majority of accidents from 2008-2018 were caused by three factors i.e. speeding, negligence and bad behavior. Due to the pandemic COVID-19 and its repercussions, the scope of this study was severely limited and an in-depth study with extensive RTA records is recommended for further research and model development.
Keywords- Road traffic, accident, trend analysis, Accidents forecasting
Cite this Article
Mahmoud Dawood,  Mohammed Al Shubaily,  Omar Khaleel,   "Road Traffic Accident In Muscat: Trend Analysis And Forecast"
, International Journal of Engineering Development and Research (IJEDR), ISSN:2321-9939, Volume.8, Issue 3, pp.327-342, September 2020, Available at :http://www.ijedr.org/papers/IJEDR2003051.pdf